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Ted Bauman: Trump’s Trade War Will End Bull Market

Trump’s trade war seems to have an especially exasperating effect on Ted Bauman. Now the editor of three financial publications at Banyan Hill Publishing and an international expert on finance, he has built a career that spans two continents. As an authority in asset protection, low-risk investment strategies, privacy issues and international migration, he uses his experience to advise investors.

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During a 25-year career in South Africa as a financial consultant to the United Nations, the government of South Africa, the World Bank and others, Ted Bauman traveled to 75 countries and gained a unique perspective on world markets and their effect on the investing public. His views of Trump’s trade wars may stem from the depth of his knowledge in financial matters and decisions that impact them. On return to the United States in 2008, he worked with Habitat for Humanity as the Director of International Housing Programs until 2013. From his vantage point as an author, he sees a danger to investors’ portfolios from Trump’s escalating pursuit of trade wars.

Assessing the Situation

Forbes notes the U.S. trade balance at an annual deficit that exceeds $330 billion with China and about $550 billion elsewhere, citing Trump’s belief that his tariffs can change it. Companies that earn about $100 billion annually from China hope that he treads carefully. Washington and corporate America hold much of the responsibility for the trade imbalance with policies and practices that led to seeking “low-labor in low-tax countries.”

Corporations have used the business practice since early in the 1980s. Forbes cites Ted Bauman’s evaluation of what happens when the statistics include “this sort of foreign income.” The U.S. and the global community “run sales surpluses” with both Canada and Mexico. Bauman consistently reasserts his concern about the losses that investors experience from decisions such as Trump’s trade war. He warns anyone who holds investments in U.S. multinationals that they need to have grave concerns. U.S. capitalists have the greatest likelihood of suffering losses “if trade wars get out of hand.”

The Business Insider echoes some of Bauman’s concerns with the observation of facts that anyone can see. The selloffs in the market that put it in correction mode early in February pose visible warning signs of inflation fears as the potential of a global trade war increases. With the possibility of a bull market hitting a wall created by a trade war looming, investors have cause for concern. Bull markets end not as much from age as from “changes in monetary or fiscal policy.”

on trumps trade war with china
Wikipedia Commons: United States Trade in Goods with China

Writing with Perspective

In his publications, Ted Bauman presents safe ways for investors to “protect and grow” accumulated wealth. His Alpha Stock Alert has beaten the S&P 500 index a remarkable 10 times in the last 10 years. It had no losing year in over a decade that included the financial crisis that started in 2008. The concepts in The Bauman Letter give more than 100,000 subscribers a monthly update on ways to invest in innovative legal and personal strategies to “preserve and secure their wealth.” He expands his writings as an economist in his Smart Money service to give readers access to profitable trading systems that he developed with other Wall Street experts.

Preparing to Help Others

As a young man, he chose to leave his home on Maryland’s eastern shore and emigrated to South Africa. While there, he prepared for a career of freeing people from corporate greed and governmental oversight. Postgraduate degrees from the University of Cape Town in economics and history set him on a path that benefits investors and thinkers today. His success in the financial knowledge industry gives him the freedom to lead a relaxed lifestyle that requires no commute. He enjoys taking his daughter to school and putting in highly productive hours early in his basement office. With excellent skills in writing and narration, he can make “mundane topics like finance and asset protection” relevant to his readers. He welcomes the inquiries that he receives about the nature of the global economy. Many express concerns about the accommodation of large business as a practical financial strategy that provides long-term benefits for the few and not the many.

While Bauman asserts that he does not oppose tariffs that focus on attempts by the Chinese government to steal U.S. intellectual property, he does so with caution. He maintains that support for Trump’s current trade war requires investors to choose positions carefully. Anyone who backs it cannot simultaneously despise “government interference in our personal and commercial freedoms.” A tariff regime that targets specific products leads to an “increase in government power” and subsequent interference in commerce.

Sharing the Power of Knowledge

The availability of information on websites gives Bauman access to analytic tools that he uses to prepare his research, and he encourages others to search the web as well. He recommends reading some “unorthodox” commentaries for one aspect of the financial world and the mainstream media for another viewpoint. Investors can find in-depth information that provides a basis for analysis without going to a broker’s website. Up-to-date data offers access to trading strategies that may influence a purchasing decision. He recommends reading books that provide commentary on the concentration of wealth in today’s world. Books that express a viewpoint different from prevailing opinion help his readers expand their knowledge.

Unlike most of his colleagues, he has never worked as an investment specialist. His training as an economist led to his work in managing housing finance processes for nonprofit developers in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Even though he has always worked in the non-profit sector, he has regarded the “protection of individual rights” from intrusion by big government and big business as a worthy endeavor. His experiences inspire and motivate his work as an author and editor today.

Find Ted Bauman on LinkedIn >>

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